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Bitcoin’s $100K Rally Potential Faces Seasonal Headwinds

Bitcoin’s $100K Rally Potential Faces Seasonal Headwinds

Published:
2025-05-11 18:37:10
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As Bitcoin flirts with the $97,000 mark, traders are cautiously optimistic about a potential surge to $100,000. However, historical seasonal trends, particularly the ’Sell in May and Go Away’ adage, raise concerns about near-term performance. Jeff Mei, COO of BTSE, suggests this year might defy expectations despite recent market underperformance.

Bitcoin Traders Eye $100K Amid Seasonal Bearish Concerns

Bitcoin’s recent breakout has traders speculating about a near-term rally toward $100,000, but historical trends suggest caution as May approaches. The adage ’Sell in May and Go Away’ looms large, with seasonal weakness often characterizing the coming months.

Jeff Mei, COO of BTSE, notes that while markets have underperformed recently, this year could defy expectations. Bitcoin’s surge to $97,000 and a rebound in growth stocks hint at resilience. However, weak U.S. GDP data introduces risk—another negative quarter WOULD signal a recession, though potential rate cuts might spur a recovery.

Bitcoin Surges Beyond $96,000 as Market Anticipates Fed Meeting Outcome

Bitcoin soared above $96,000, extending yesterday’s rally as investors braced for the Federal Reserve’s policy decision. The cryptocurrency’s upward momentum reflects broader market anticipation of macroeconomic signals.

Key U.S. economic data released ahead of the Fed meeting showed mixed indicators: unemployment held steady at 4.2%, while non-farm payrolls were expected to decline to 138,000 from 228,000. Wage growth projections remained muted at 3.9% annually.

The crypto market’s reaction underscores its growing sensitivity to traditional financial catalysts. Bitcoin’s price action suggests traders are positioning for potential monetary policy shifts, with the Fed’s tone likely to dictate near-term direction.

U.S. Jobs Report Exceeds Expectations, Bitcoin Shows Modest Reaction

The U.S. labor market demonstrated resilience in April, adding 177,000 jobs—surpassing analyst estimates of 130,000. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.2%, mirroring March’s figure. This strength comes amid ongoing market turbulence following last month’s tariff announcements.

Bitcoin (BTC), which had been rallying for two weeks since the initial tariff panic, dipped slightly to $96,700 post-announcement. U.S. stock futures extended gains, with the Nasdaq 100 leading the charge. The crypto market’s muted response suggests traders are weighing macroeconomic strength against lingering geopolitical risks.

Institutions Bet Big: Bitcoin’s Price Projections for 2025 Keep Climbing

Bitcoin’s trajectory toward 2025 is drawing bold institutional forecasts, with price targets ranging from $122,000 to as high as $700,000. Standard Chartered leads the charge with a $200,000 year-end projection, framing BTC as both a speculative asset and a hedge against fiat erosion.

The widening spectrum of predictions reflects deepening institutional engagement amid macroeconomic instability. Where traditional markets waver, Bitcoin’s scarcity and decentralization narrative gains traction—transforming from crypto curiosity to cornerstone asset.

Wall Street Backs Strategy’s $84B Bitcoin Expansion Plan

MicroStrategy (MSTR) has reinforced its position as the corporate vanguard of bitcoin adoption, with Wall Street analysts endorsing its latest capital-raising initiative to amplify BTC holdings. Benchmark’s Mark Palmer maintained a buy rating and $650 price target, citing the company’s "first-mover advantage" and scalable accumulation strategy.

The firm trades at a premium to its Bitcoin treasury—a valuation Palmer deems justified by executive leadership’s proven ability to create shareholder value through crypto asset allocation. This development underscores institutional confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term thesis, even as competitors attempt to replicate MicroStrategy’s playbook.

Peter Brandt Predicts Bitcoin Could Reach $150K by 2025

Veteran investor Peter Brandt has ignited market speculation with a bold projection: Bitcoin may surge to between $125,000 and $150,000 by 2025. His analysis hinges on the cryptocurrency maintaining its parabolic trajectory, contingent upon specific technical formations. Brandt cautions that a correction could follow once peak levels are achieved.

Market participants are scrutinizing current trading volumes and price action for clues about Bitcoin’s next move. The prediction has divided analysts, with some embracing the bullish case while others advocate restraint given volatility risks.

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